Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Left at home !

Funny day today, Rob is at sea and I am at home trying to sort out comms. and weather forecasts, while keeping in touch with his loved ones. Usually I am sea and am cursing my inability to get weather data.

IMG_6137

Dreamcatcher position at 00:00 utc

34 38 S 176 55 E

Course : 020

Speed : 7.5 knots

Wind : SW 15 knots.

 

Weather report sent at 00:00 utc

High 55S 160E (1034mb) stable - stationary

Low pressure 50S 160W (968mb forecast to rise) moves  to the Sth East 10 kts

Trough from this low to close to your position

Embedded Low forming 35S 178E (1008mb) – location and intensity varies between models

 

Current model accuracy your position GOOD

Next 24 hours

SW > SE as trough passes over

15 knots rising to 20-25 knots MEAN – gusts 50% more

Pressure decreasing to 1007.8 = 29.76 min @ 16:00 today

24 – 48

Rising pressure influence of Tasman High

SE becoming S early Friday, then SW by noon

Wind decreasing as pressure rises

Possible variations. Embedded low forming close to your location, could cause 30 – 40 knot MEAN Sth wind area 28S – 30S  178 – 182E  early Friday morning.

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